CrimeMetric

Crime in Vails Gate, New York

Major crime in Vails Gate is 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 24% lower for persons crimes and 1.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
162
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the New York rate
down 7.1% in a year
Persons crimes
76
24% below the U.S. rate
31% below the New York rate
down 5.8% in a year
Property crimes
182
1.8 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the New York rate
down 7.2% in a year
Social disorder
100
about the U.S. rate
about the New York rate
down 6.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Vails Gate

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Vails Gate for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Vails Gate

Vails Gate is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 142; the middle half of residents live where it is between 75 and 281.

Map of Vails Gate, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10038.3%
  • 100–20028.6%
  • 200–40033.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm158
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am168
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm177
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am148
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.1% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.1%NY -8.7%-13.0%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-5.8%NY -7.0%-3.5%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-7.2%NY -9.0%-13.9%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-6.0%NY -5.2%-5.2%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Vails Gate against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

149 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Vails Gate; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Vails Gate, NY3,067162
Calais, ME3,06962
Cactus, TX3,06656
Dayton, WA3,06749

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Vails Gate has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, New Windsor (2 mi), is 70% below Vails Gate's rate.

Balmville5 mi262
Woodbury8 mi234
Vails Gate162
Newburgh4 mi131
Beacon6 mi39

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Vails Gate

What are the most common crimes in Vails Gate?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 35 a year), other larceny (about 34 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Vails Gate's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Vails Gate has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,067. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Vails Gate, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/vails-gate

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100