Crime in Town of Oyster Bay, New York
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Town of Oyster Bay at 43% below the U.S. rate per resident: 60% lower for persons crimes and 40% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.2% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Town of Oyster Bay. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 9.7 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (1.3 violent, 8.4 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Town of Oyster Bay is higher than 44% of the 482 other New York places and lower than 53% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Town of Oyster Bay's 258 census block groups for 301,660 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Town of Oyster Bay.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Town of Oyster Bay
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 25 and 60.
- 0–5063.3%
- 50–10024.8%
- 100–2007.1%
- 200–4004.2%
- 400+0.5%
Check an address in Town of Oyster Bay
Every crime type in Town of Oyster Bay is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 7.2% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Town of Oyster Bay against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents
52 of the 56 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Town of Oyster Bay's, and 1 is within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Town of Oyster Bay's major-crime index is higher than 1, lower than 3 and within 15% of 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Bethpage (1 mi), is within 15% of Town of Oyster Bay's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Town of Oyster Bay
Is Town of Oyster Bay safe?
Town of Oyster Bay's major-crime index is 57, 43% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 44% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 60% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 40% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Town of Oyster Bay?
The model expects about 2,935 major crimes a year in Town of Oyster Bay, about 9.7 per 1,000 residents, 43% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Town of Oyster Bay?
Expected major crimes in Town of Oyster Bay are down 7.2% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Town of Oyster Bay?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 1,010 a year), shoplifting (about 911 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 429 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Town of Oyster Bay?
The model expects about 429 thefts from vehicles a year in Town of Oyster Bay, 46% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Town of Oyster Bay?
The model expects about 53 motor vehicle thefts a year in Town of Oyster Bay, 89% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Town of Oyster Bay safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 64 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 57 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Town of Oyster Bay higher than the New York average?
Town of Oyster Bay's major-crime index is 57, 47% below the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Town of Oyster Bay compare with Bethpage?
Bethpage, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 51, within 15% of Town of Oyster Bay's rate per resident. Town of Oyster Bay's is 57.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Town of Oyster Bay's figures add up its 258 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Town of Oyster Bay has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 301,660. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Town of Oyster Bay, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/town-of-oyster-bay
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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