Crime in St. Paul, Minnesota
Major crime in St. Paul is 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.6 times for persons crimes and 2.0 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 3.1 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in St. Paul for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across St. Paul
The middle half of St. Paul residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 110 and 219; the typical (median) resident's is 158. The citywide figure (194) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–500.5%
- 50–10016.0%
- 100–20052.8%
- 200–40025.5%
- 400+5.2%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Lowest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime rose 0.5% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
St. Paul against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents
12 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than St. Paul; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
St. Paul has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, West St. Paul (4 mi), is 13% above St. Paul's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in St. Paul
What are the most common crimes in St. Paul?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 2,637 a year), theft from vehicle (about 2,516 a year) and burglary (about 1,489 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 3.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. St. Paul's figures add up its 277 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- St. Paul has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 83.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 308,303. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in St. Paul, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/st-paul
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- West St. Paul4 mi219
- Falcon Heights4 mi134
- Roseville5 mi376
- Maplewood5 mi161
- Mendota Heights5 mi52
- Little Canada5 mi147
- South St. Paul5 mi79
- North St. Paul7 mi139