CrimeMetric

Crime in Cincinnati, Ohio

Major crime in Cincinnati is 2.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.8 times for persons crimes and 2.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 2.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
272
2.7 times the U.S. rate
2.9 times the Ohio rate
up 2.9% in a year
Persons crimes
277
2.8 times the U.S. rate
3.4 times the Ohio rate
up 8.5% in a year
Property crimes
271
2.7 times the U.S. rate
2.9 times the Ohio rate
up 1.7% in a year
Social disorder
152
1.5 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Ohio rate
up 9.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Theft from vehicle and murder stand out most, at about 4.1 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Cincinnati for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Murder41047
Robbery397546

Property crimes

Burglary2661,396
Shoplifting2092,129

How crime varies across Cincinnati

The middle half of Cincinnati residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 111 and 286; the typical (median) resident's is 188. The citywide figure (272) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Cincinnati, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–506.4%
  • 50–10014.8%
  • 100–20032.7%
  • 200–40030.1%
  • 400+16.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm225
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am310
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm232
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am362
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 2.9% in a year; across Ohio it fell 7.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+2.9%OH -7.1%-12.3%OH -13.6%
Persons crimes+8.5%OH -7.1%-3.9%OH -3.7%
Property crimes+1.7%OH -7.1%-14.1%OH -15.6%
Social disorder+9.4%OH -6.1%-5.0%OH -7.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Ohio as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Cincinnati against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents

6 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Cincinnati; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:

Cincinnati, OH320,786272
Durham, NC316,078237
Stockton, CA328,940194
Greensboro, NC315,630173
Riverside, CA325,536159
Pittsburgh, PA310,065156
Newark, NJ330,800106
Santa Ana, CA317,92086
Irvine, CA323,64565

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Cincinnati has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, St. Bernard (2 mi), is 61% below Cincinnati's rate.

Cincinnati272
Norwood3 mi181

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Cincinnati

What are the most common crimes in Cincinnati?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 3,501 a year), theft from vehicle (about 3,494 a year) and shoplifting (about 2,129 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 4.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Cincinnati's figures add up its 276 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Cincinnati's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 87.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 320,786. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Cincinnati, Ohio." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/oh/cincinnati

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100