CrimeMetric

Crime in Durham, North Carolina

Major crime in Durham is 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.6 times for persons crimes and 2.5 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 3.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
237
2.4 times the U.S. rate
2.1 times the North Carolina rate
down 3.3% in a year
Persons crimes
165
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the North Carolina rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
253
2.5 times the U.S. rate
2.2 times the North Carolina rate
down 3.8% in a year
Social disorder
128
28% above the U.S. rate
about the North Carolina rate
about flat in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Durham

Crime by type

Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 4.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Durham for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Murder30234
Robbery280379

Property crimes

Shoplifting2952,962
Burglary2181,128

How crime varies across Durham

The middle half of Durham residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 67 and 309; the typical (median) resident's is 149. The citywide figure (237) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Durham, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5018.7%
  • 50–10019.8%
  • 100–20022.0%
  • 200–40022.3%
  • 400+17.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm251
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am227
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm240
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am214
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 3.3% in a year; across North Carolina it fell 9.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-3.3%NC -9.0%-8.4%NC -9.2%
Persons crimes+0.4%NC -4.5%+0.2%NC +2.7%
Property crimes-3.8%NC -9.9%-9.6%NC -11.5%
Social disorder+0.1%NC -6.8%-1.8%NC -3.7%

Change in expected crimes, with North Carolina as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Durham against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents

9 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Durham; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:

Cincinnati, OH320,786272
Durham, NC316,078237
St. Paul, MN308,303194
Greensboro, NC315,630173
Riverside, CA325,536159
Pittsburgh, PA310,065156
Jersey City, NJ307,192129
Santa Ana, CA317,92086
Irvine, CA323,64565

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Durham has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Chapel Hill (9 mi), is 42% below Durham's rate.

Durham237
Hillsborough12 mi143
Morrisville11 mi138
Carrboro11 mi130
Creedmoor16 mi83
Butner13 mi73
Cary14 mi49
Apex17 mi44

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Durham

What are the most common crimes in Durham?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 3,599 a year), shoplifting (about 2,962 a year) and other larceny (about 2,273 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 4.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Durham's figures add up its 205 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Durham's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 66.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 316,078. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Durham, North Carolina." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nc/durham

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100