CrimeMetric

Crime in Youngstown, Ohio

Major crime in Youngstown is 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.9 times for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
162
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Ohio rate
down 9.6% in a year
Persons crimes
186
1.9 times the U.S. rate
2.3 times the Ohio rate
down 5.3% in a year
Property crimes
157
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Ohio rate
down 10.7% in a year
Social disorder
154
1.5 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Ohio rate
down 5.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Murder stands out most, at 3.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Youngstown for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Youngstown

The middle half of Youngstown residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 116 and 184; the typical (median) resident's is 141.

Map of Youngstown, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–501.4%
  • 50–10013.5%
  • 100–20063.8%
  • 200–40017.6%
  • 400+3.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

About the same at every time of week

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm160
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am165
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm161
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am162
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.6% in a year; across Ohio it fell 7.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.6%OH -7.1%-16.0%OH -13.6%
Persons crimes-5.3%OH -7.1%-5.7%OH -3.7%
Property crimes-10.7%OH -7.1%-18.7%OH -15.6%
Social disorder-5.7%OH -6.1%-8.8%OH -7.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Ohio as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Youngstown against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

77 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Youngstown; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Valdosta, GA59,165215
Youngstown, OH58,810162
Casper, WY59,049126
Anderson, IN58,457122
Lancaster, PA58,484108
Kokomo, IN58,52699

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Youngstown has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Campbell (4 mi), is 43% below Youngstown's rate.

Youngstown162
Campbell4 mi93
Girard5 mi78
Struthers4 mi69
Niles8 mi69
Hubbard6 mi60

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Youngstown

What are the most common crimes in Youngstown?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 556 a year), burglary (about 289 a year) and aggravated assault (about 246 a year). Compared with the U.S., murder stands out most: 3.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Youngstown's figures add up its 76 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Youngstown's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 18.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 58,810. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Youngstown, Ohio." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/oh/youngstown

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100