CrimeMetric

Crime in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania

Major crime in Bethlehem is 9% below the U.S. rate per resident: 37% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 4.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
91
9% below the U.S. rate
9% above the Pennsylvania rate
down 4.2% in a year
Persons crimes
63
37% below the U.S. rate
10% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 10.8% in a year
Property crimes
98
about the U.S. rate
13% above the Pennsylvania rate
down 3.2% in a year
Social disorder
157
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Bethlehem

Crime by type

Simple assault stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Bethlehem for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Bethlehem

The middle half of Bethlehem residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 49 and 96; the typical (median) resident's is 70. The citywide figure (91) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Bethlehem, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5027.2%
  • 50–10049.0%
  • 100–20013.6%
  • 200–4009.0%
  • 400+1.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Lowest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm94
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am93
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm79
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am93
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 4.2% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-4.2%PA -8.6%-10.2%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-10.8%PA -5.5%-0.1%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-3.2%PA -9.2%-11.6%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-5.4%PA -6.1%-3.2%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Bethlehem against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

273 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bethlehem; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Bismarck, ND80,810105
Bethlehem, PA80,64091
Largo, FL81,20285
Caldwell, ID81,02859
Plymouth, MN80,91951

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Bethlehem has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Fountain Hill (2 mi), is 43% below Bethlehem's rate.

Fullerton6 mi122
Middletown3 mi110
Allentown6 mi95
Bethlehem91

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Bethlehem

What are the most common crimes in Bethlehem?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 602 a year), shoplifting (about 188 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 181 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bethlehem's figures add up its 64 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Bethlehem has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 13.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 80,640. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/bethlehem

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100