CrimeMetric

Crime in Middletown (Northampton County), Pennsylvania

Major crime in Middletown is 10% above the U.S. rate per resident: 79% lower for persons crimes and 29% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 22.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
110
10% above the U.S. rate
31% above the Pennsylvania rate
up 22.4% in a year
Persons crimes
21
79% below the U.S. rate
70% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 3.6% in a year
Property crimes
129
29% above the U.S. rate
49% above the Pennsylvania rate
up 23.6% in a year
Social disorder
82
18% below the U.S. rate
6% below the Pennsylvania rate
up 18.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Middletown

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Middletown for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Middletown

The middle half of Middletown residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 32 and 243; the typical (median) resident's is 66. The citywide figure (110) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Middletown, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5045.7%
  • 50–10025.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–40029.4%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm107
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am112
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm123
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am98
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 22.4% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+22.4%PA -8.6%-11.9%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-3.6%PA -5.5%+0.1%PA -6.0%
Property crimes+23.6%PA -9.2%-12.3%PA -15.4%
Social disorder+18.2%PA -6.1%-5.4%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Middletown against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

473 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Middletown; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Middletown, PA8,657110
Antigo, WI8,66367

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Middletown has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bethlehem (3 mi), is 17% below Middletown's rate.

Middletown110
Bethlehem3 mi91
Wilson5 mi91
Easton6 mi68
Nazareth7 mi35

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Middletown

What are the most common crimes in Middletown?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 94 a year), other larceny (about 38 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 18 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middletown's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Middletown has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 10.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 8,657. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middletown (Northampton County), Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/middletown-northampton-county

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100