CrimeMetric

Crime in Erie, Pennsylvania

Major crime in Erie is 40% above the U.S. rate per resident: 24% higher for persons crimes and 44% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
140
40% above the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 15.0% in a year
Persons crimes
124
24% above the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 2.5% in a year
Property crimes
144
44% above the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 17.1% in a year
Social disorder
182
1.8 times the U.S. rate
2.1 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 8.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Erie

Crime by type

Other larceny stands out most, at 2.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Erie for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Erie

The middle half of Erie residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 75 and 162; the typical (median) resident's is 119. The citywide figure (140) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Erie, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–503.2%
  • 50–10038.8%
  • 100–20042.5%
  • 200–40012.2%
  • 400+3.4%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes and on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm144
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am139
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm132
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am141
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.0% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.0%PA -8.6%-17.3%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-2.5%PA -5.5%-6.0%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-17.1%PA -9.2%-19.5%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-8.0%PA -6.1%-10.5%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Erie against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

111 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Erie; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Trenton, NJ92,387249
Lawton, OK92,196196
Erie, PA91,432140
Ogden, UT91,462119
Clifton, NJ92,232100
Roswell, GA90,63945
Newton, MA92,08933

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Erie has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Wesleyville (3 mi), is 36% above Erie's rate.

Erie140
Corry26 mi92
Edinboro17 mi68
Union City19 mi55
North East14 mi50

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Erie

What are the most common crimes in Erie?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 999 a year), shoplifting (about 400 a year) and aggravated assault (about 261 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Erie's figures add up its 90 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Erie has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 29.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 91,432. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Erie, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/erie

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100