CrimeMetric

Crime in North East, Pennsylvania

Major crime in North East is 50% below the U.S. rate per resident: 20% lower for persons crimes and 57% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
50
50% below the U.S. rate
41% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.4% in a year
Persons crimes
80
20% below the U.S. rate
15% above the Pennsylvania rate
down 4.9% in a year
Property crimes
43
57% below the U.S. rate
50% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.0% in a year
Social disorder
60
40% below the U.S. rate
32% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in North East

Crime by type

Every crime type in North East is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in North East for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across North East

The middle half of North East residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 26 and 68; the typical (median) resident's is 42. The citywide figure (50) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of North East, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5072.8%
  • 50–10012.6%
  • 100–20014.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm47
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am53
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm50
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am50
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 6.4% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-6.4%PA -8.6%-13.6%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-4.9%PA -5.5%-3.8%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-7.0%PA -9.2%-17.7%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-5.4%PA -6.1%-10.1%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

North East against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,029 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than North East; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

North East has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lawrence Park (11 mi), is 34% below North East's rate.

Lakewood, NY27 mi253
Wesleyville11 mi191
Erie14 mi140
Corry22 mi92
Edinboro28 mi68
Union City22 mi55
North East50

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in North East

What are the most common crimes in North East?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 9 a year), aggravated assault (about 8 a year) and shoplifting (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., murder stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. North East's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • North East has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,010. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in North East, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/north-east

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100