CrimeMetric

Crime in Lower Gwynedd, Pennsylvania

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Lower Gwynedd at 56% below the U.S. rate per resident: 85% lower for persons crimes and 50% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 5.6% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lower Gwynedd's 8 census block groups for 12,325 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Lower Gwynedd:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lower Gwynedd.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
7.5
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 44: 56% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.6% in a year
Persons crimes
0.5
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 15: 85% below the U.S. rate
78% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
7.0
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 50: 50% below the U.S. rate
42% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.7% in a year
Social disorder
12.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 53: 47% below the U.S. rate
39% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.5% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Lower Gwynedd

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 26 and 57.

Map of Lower Gwynedd, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5064.8%
  • 50–10035.2%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Lower Gwynedd is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weeknights and on weekend daytimes

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm44
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am46
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm45
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 5.6% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-5.6%PA -8.6%-14.7%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-5.5%PA -5.4%-5.0%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-5.7%PA -9.2%-15.4%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-5.5%PA -6.1%-6.4%PA -8.5%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Lower Gwynedd against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,617 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lower Gwynedd's, and 368 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

Newton, NC12,337160
Inwood, NY12,33196
Red Oak, TX12,31172
Andrews, TX12,32056
Lower Gwynedd, PA12,32544
Babylon, NY12,33239

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lower Gwynedd's major-crime index is higher than 4, lower than 2 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Ambler (2 mi), is within 15% of Lower Gwynedd's rate.

Ambler2 mi50
Lower Gwynedd44
Whitpain3 mi30
Blue Bell3 mi27

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Lower Gwynedd

Is Lower Gwynedd safe?

Lower Gwynedd's major-crime index is 44, 56% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 58% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 85% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 50% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Lower Gwynedd?

The model expects about 93 major crimes a year in Lower Gwynedd, about 7.5 per 1,000 residents, 56% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Lower Gwynedd?

Expected major crimes in Lower Gwynedd are down 5.6% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.

What are the most common crimes in Lower Gwynedd?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 35 a year), shoplifting (about 31 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 12 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Lower Gwynedd?

The model expects about 12 thefts from vehicles a year in Lower Gwynedd, 63% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Lower Gwynedd?

The model expects about 2 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lower Gwynedd, 89% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Lower Gwynedd safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 46 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 45 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Lower Gwynedd higher than the Pennsylvania average?

Lower Gwynedd's major-crime index is 44, 47% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Lower Gwynedd compare with Ambler?

Ambler, 2 miles away, has a major-crime index of 50, within 15% of Lower Gwynedd's rate per resident. Lower Gwynedd's is 44.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lower Gwynedd's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lower Gwynedd has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 12,325. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lower Gwynedd, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/lower-gwynedd

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100