CrimeMetric

Crime in Upper Dublin, Pennsylvania

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Upper Dublin at 59% below the U.S. rate per resident: 88% lower for persons crimes and 53% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 1.0% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Upper Dublin's 20 census block groups for 27,405 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Upper Dublin:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Upper Dublin.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
7.0
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 41: 59% below the U.S. rate
51% below the Pennsylvania rate
up 1.0% in a year
Persons crimes
0.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 12: 88% below the U.S. rate
82% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 13.5% in a year
Property crimes
6.6
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 47: 53% below the U.S. rate
46% below the Pennsylvania rate
up 1.9% in a year
Social disorder
8.8
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 38: 62% below the U.S. rate
57% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.0% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Upper Dublin

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 20 and 49.

Map of Upper Dublin, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5082.7%
  • 50–10017.3%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Upper Dublin is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weeknights

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm38
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am46
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm40
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am39
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime rose 1.0% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+1.0%PA -8.6%-13.2%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-13.5%PA -5.4%-3.9%PA -6.0%
Property crimes+1.9%PA -9.2%-13.7%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-6.0%PA -6.1%-6.9%PA -8.5%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Upper Dublin against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

842 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Upper Dublin's, and 132 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:

Linda, CA27,39864
Wilmette, IL27,44047
Upper Dublin, PA27,40541

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Upper Dublin's major-crime index is higher than 1, lower than 6 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Fort Washington (1 mi), is 1.7 times Upper Dublin's rate.

Horsham3 mi56
Ambler2 mi50
Upper Dublin41

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Upper Dublin

Is Upper Dublin safe?

Upper Dublin's major-crime index is 41, 59% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 61% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 88% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 53% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Upper Dublin?

The model expects about 192 major crimes a year in Upper Dublin, about 7.0 per 1,000 residents, 59% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Upper Dublin?

Expected major crimes in Upper Dublin are up 1.0% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.

What are the most common crimes in Upper Dublin?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 79 a year), other larceny (about 52 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 27 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Upper Dublin?

The model expects about 27 thefts from vehicles a year in Upper Dublin, 63% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Upper Dublin?

The model expects about 14 motor vehicle thefts a year in Upper Dublin, 68% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Upper Dublin safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 46 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 40 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Upper Dublin higher than the Pennsylvania average?

Upper Dublin's major-crime index is 41, 51% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Upper Dublin compare with Fort Washington?

Fort Washington, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 69, 1.7 times Upper Dublin's rate per resident. Upper Dublin's is 41.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Upper Dublin's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Upper Dublin has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 27,405. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Upper Dublin, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/upper-dublin

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100