Crime in New Castle, Pennsylvania
Major crime in New Castle is 42% above the U.S. rate per resident: 1.5 times for persons crimes and 40% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.2% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.4 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in New Castle for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across New Castle
The middle half of New Castle residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 68 and 141; the typical (median) resident's is 104. The citywide figure (142) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5012.7%
- 50–10023.7%
- 100–20047.2%
- 200–40013.8%
- 400+2.6%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 8.2% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%
Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
New Castle against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
325 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than New Castle; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
New Castle has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Ellwood City (10 mi), is 63% below New Castle's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in New Castle
What are the most common crimes in New Castle?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 133 a year), shoplifting (about 132 a year) and aggravated assault (about 83 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. New Castle's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- New Castle has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 27.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 21,106. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in New Castle, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/new-castle
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Ellwood City10 mi52
- Struthers, OH14 mi69
- Campbell, OH14 mi93
- East Palestine, OH16 mi46
- Hubbard, OH16 mi60
- Beaver Falls16 mi109
- Farrell17 mi97
- Hermitage17 mi99