CrimeMetric

Crime in Ellwood City, Pennsylvania

Major crime in Ellwood City is 48% below the U.S. rate per resident: 64% lower for persons crimes and 45% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
52
48% below the U.S. rate
38% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.2% in a year
Persons crimes
36
64% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 4.1% in a year
Property crimes
55
45% below the U.S. rate
36% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.6% in a year
Social disorder
66
34% below the U.S. rate
24% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Ellwood City

Crime by type

Every crime type in Ellwood City is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Ellwood City for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Ellwood City

The middle half of Ellwood City residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 79; the typical (median) resident's is 28. The citywide figure (52) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Ellwood City, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5052.6%
  • 50–10034.8%
  • 100–20012.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm49
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am56
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm52
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am50
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.2% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.2%PA -8.6%-17.2%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-4.1%PA -5.5%-4.9%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-7.6%PA -9.2%-18.9%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-6.3%PA -6.1%-11.6%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Ellwood City against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,328 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Ellwood City; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Exton, PA7,498182
Nevada, IA7,512136
Hillside, IL7,497113
Ellwood City, PA7,50052

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Ellwood City has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Beaver Falls (7 mi), is 2.1 times Ellwood City's rate.

Rochester11 mi202
New Castle10 mi142
Monaca12 mi58
Ellwood City52
Beaver12 mi41

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Ellwood City

What are the most common crimes in Ellwood City?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 24 a year), shoplifting (about 22 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 7% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Ellwood City's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Ellwood City has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 7,500. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Ellwood City, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/ellwood-city

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100