CrimeMetric

Crime in North Middleton, Pennsylvania

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in North Middleton at 70% below the U.S. rate per resident: 78% lower for persons crimes and 69% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.4% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across North Middleton's 7 census block groups for 13,229 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for North Middleton:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside North Middleton.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
5.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 30: 70% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.4% in a year
Persons crimes
0.7
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 22: 78% below the U.S. rate
68% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 4.2% in a year
Property crimes
4.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 32: 69% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.8% in a year
Social disorder
8.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 36: 64% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.2% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across North Middleton

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 21 and 35.

Map of North Middleton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5076.4%
  • 50–10023.6%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in North Middleton is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weeknights

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm28
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am33
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm30
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am29
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 7.4% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.4%PA -8.6%-8.8%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-4.2%PA -5.4%+5.7%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-7.8%PA -9.2%-11.1%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-6.2%PA -6.1%-1.7%PA -8.5%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

North Middleton against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,097 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above North Middleton's, and 219 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

Alcoa, TN13,24560
North Middleton, PA13,22930

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

North Middleton's major-crime index is higher than 2, lower than 4 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Schlusser (1 mi), is 26% below North Middleton's rate.

Carlisle2 mi72
Camp Hill14 mi32
North Middleton30
Schlusser1 mi22

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in North Middleton

Is North Middleton safe?

North Middleton's major-crime index is 30, 70% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 75% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 78% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 69% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in North Middleton?

The model expects about 68 major crimes a year in North Middleton, about 5.1 per 1,000 residents, 70% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in North Middleton?

Expected major crimes in North Middleton are down 7.4% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.

What are the most common crimes in North Middleton?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 22 a year), other larceny (about 22 a year) and aggravated assault (about 7 a year).

Are car break-ins common in North Middleton?

The model expects about 7 thefts from vehicles a year in North Middleton, 81% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in North Middleton?

The model expects about 2 motor vehicle thefts a year in North Middleton, 91% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is North Middleton safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 33 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 30 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in North Middleton higher than the Pennsylvania average?

North Middleton's major-crime index is 30, 64% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in North Middleton compare with Schlusser?

Schlusser, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 22, 26% below North Middleton's rate per resident. North Middleton's is 30.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. North Middleton's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • North Middleton has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 13,229. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in North Middleton, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/north-middleton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100