CrimeMetric

Crime in Brandermill, Virginia

Major crime in Brandermill is 14% below the U.S. rate per resident: 47% lower for persons crimes and 7% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
86
14% below the U.S. rate
about the Virginia rate
down 2.6% in a year
Persons crimes
54
47% below the U.S. rate
16% below the Virginia rate
up 7.5% in a year
Property crimes
93
7% below the U.S. rate
about the Virginia rate
down 3.7% in a year
Social disorder
123
23% above the U.S. rate
32% above the Virginia rate
up 4.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Brandermill for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Brandermill

The middle half of Brandermill residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 85; the typical (median) resident's is 44. The citywide figure (86) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Brandermill, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5053.6%
  • 50–10030.8%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–40015.6%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm91
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am76
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm103
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am79
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 2.6% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-2.6%VA -8.5%-7.3%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes+7.5%VA -5.2%+3.5%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-3.7%VA -9.0%-8.7%VA -14.1%
Social disorder+4.6%VA -5.3%+0.6%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Brandermill against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

864 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Brandermill; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Clayton, OH13,249124
Niles, MI13,24894
Brandermill, VA13,24286
Alcoa, TN13,24562

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Brandermill has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Woodlake (2 mi), is 43% below Brandermill's rate.

Bon Air7 mi196
Manchester7 mi144
Bensley11 mi107
Brandermill86
Tuckahoe12 mi77
Woodlake2 mi50
Rockwood5 mi34

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Brandermill

What are the most common crimes in Brandermill?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 89 a year), other larceny (about 46 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 20 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Brandermill's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Brandermill's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 32.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 13,242. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Brandermill, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/brandermill

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100