CrimeMetric

Crime in Upper Saucon, Pennsylvania

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Upper Saucon at 77% below the U.S. rate per resident: 83% lower for persons crimes and 75% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.5% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Upper Saucon's 9 census block groups for 18,685 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Upper Saucon:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Upper Saucon.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
4.0
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 23: 77% below the U.S. rate
72% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.5% in a year
Persons crimes
0.5
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 17: 83% below the U.S. rate
75% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
3.5
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 25: 75% below the U.S. rate
71% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.8% in a year
Social disorder
4.8
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 21: 79% below the U.S. rate
76% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.1% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Upper Saucon

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 11 and 19.

Map of Upper Saucon, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5091.6%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2008.4%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Upper Saucon is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Rape / sexual assault382
Murder190
Aggravated assault157
Robbery121

Property crimes

Other larceny3533
Shoplifting3219
Burglary155
Theft from vehicle136
Motor vehicle theft93

Social disorder

Intimidation4318
Vandalism2721
Disorderly conduct215
Trespassing219
Drugs and alcohol1918
Simple assault1318
Weapons violations112
When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm25
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am22
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm22
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am22
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 7.5% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.5%PA -8.6%-7.8%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-5.5%PA -5.4%+4.8%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-7.8%PA -9.2%-9.8%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-6.1%PA -6.1%-0.9%PA -8.5%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Upper Saucon against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,284 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Upper Saucon's, and 145 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

Lennox, CA18,638135
Millbrook, AL18,654132
Charleston, IL18,689108
South Ogden, UT18,64267
Clayton, MO18,63851
River Falls, WI18,72142
Winthrop Town, MA18,70538
Upper Saucon, PA18,68523
South Fayette, PA18,69620
Waunakee, WI18,72513

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Upper Saucon's major-crime index is lower than 7 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Salisbury Township (4 mi), is 34% above Upper Saucon's rate.

Allentown6 mi94
Bethlehem7 mi91
Hellertown5 mi54
Fountain Hill5 mi52
Emmaus5 mi42
Salisbury Township4 mi31
Lower Saucon5 mi30
Dorneyville6 mi25
Upper Saucon23

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Upper Saucon

Is Upper Saucon safe?

Upper Saucon's major-crime index is 23, 77% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 87% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 83% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 75% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Upper Saucon?

The model expects about 75 major crimes a year in Upper Saucon, about 4.0 per 1,000 residents, 77% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Upper Saucon?

Expected major crimes in Upper Saucon are down 7.5% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.

What are the most common crimes in Upper Saucon?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 33 a year), shoplifting (about 19 a year) and aggravated assault (about 7 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Upper Saucon?

The model expects about 6 thefts from vehicles a year in Upper Saucon, 87% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Upper Saucon?

The model expects about 3 motor vehicle thefts a year in Upper Saucon, 91% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Upper Saucon safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 22 on Friday and Saturday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 25 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Upper Saucon higher than the Pennsylvania average?

Upper Saucon's major-crime index is 23, 72% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Upper Saucon compare with Salisbury Township?

Salisbury Township, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 31, 34% above Upper Saucon's rate per resident. Upper Saucon's is 23.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Upper Saucon's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Upper Saucon has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 18,685. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Upper Saucon, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/upper-saucon

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100