CrimeMetric

Crime in Warren, Pennsylvania

Major crime in Warren is 14% below the U.S. rate per resident: 1.6 times for persons crimes and 30% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
86
14% below the U.S. rate
about the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.1% in a year
Persons crimes
161
1.6 times the U.S. rate
2.3 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 3.0% in a year
Property crimes
70
30% below the U.S. rate
19% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.5% in a year
Social disorder
117
17% above the U.S. rate
33% above the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Warren

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Warren for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Warren

The middle half of Warren residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 30 and 110; the typical (median) resident's is 61. The citywide figure (86) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Warren, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5040.4%
  • 50–10022.9%
  • 100–20031.1%
  • 200–4005.5%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm79
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am97
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm83
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am88
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 6.1% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-6.1%PA -8.6%-14.4%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-3.0%PA -5.5%-4.1%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-7.5%PA -9.2%-19.7%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-6.4%PA -6.1%-12.1%PA -8.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Pennsylvania as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Warren against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

708 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Warren; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Cordele, GA9,037248
Warren, PA9,02786
Butner, NC9,02673
Obetz, OH9,02959

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Warren has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Jamestown (18 mi), is 2.0 times Warren's rate.

Lakewood, NY20 mi253
Bradford27 mi214
Corry26 mi92
Warren86
Titusville31 mi62

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Warren

What are the most common crimes in Warren?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 42 a year), other larceny (about 37 a year) and shoplifting (about 34 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Warren's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Warren has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 9,027. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Warren, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/pa/warren

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100