CrimeMetric

Crime in Canyon Lake, California

Major crime in Canyon Lake is 26% below the U.S. rate per resident: 32% lower for persons crimes and 25% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 40.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
74
26% below the U.S. rate
39% below the California rate
up 40.3% in a year
Persons crimes
68
32% below the U.S. rate
49% below the California rate
up 55.0% in a year
Property crimes
75
25% below the U.S. rate
36% below the California rate
up 37.7% in a year
Social disorder
86
14% below the U.S. rate
16% below the California rate
up 54.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Canyon Lake

Crime by type

Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 1.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Canyon Lake for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Canyon Lake

The middle half of Canyon Lake residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 67 and 78; the typical (median) resident's is 76.

Map of Canyon Lake, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–100100.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm63
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am89
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm69
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am77
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 40.3% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+40.3%CA -7.4%-10.0%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+55.0%CA -3.5%+2.5%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+37.7%CA -8.4%-12.4%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+54.2%CA -4.9%-2.8%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Canyon Lake against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

885 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Canyon Lake; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Warren, PA9,02786
Canyon Lake, CA9,02474
Butner, NC9,02673
Obetz, OH9,02959

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Canyon Lake has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Menifee (4 mi), is 15% below Canyon Lake's rate.

Good Hope6 mi103
Canyon Lake74
Perris9 mi73
Menifee4 mi63
Wildomar5 mi54
Murrieta8 mi46

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Canyon Lake

What are the most common crimes in Canyon Lake?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 37 a year), other larceny (about 31 a year) and aggravated assault (about 17 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Canyon Lake's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Canyon Lake has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 21.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 9,024. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Canyon Lake, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/canyon-lake

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100