CrimeMetric

Crime in Warrington, Pennsylvania

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Warrington at 65% below the U.S. rate per resident: 89% lower for persons crimes and 60% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 24.1% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Warrington's 13 census block groups for 26,423 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Warrington:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Warrington.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
6.0
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 35: 65% below the U.S. rate
58% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 24.1% in a year
Persons crimes
0.3
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 11: 89% below the U.S. rate
85% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 7.5% in a year
Property crimes
5.7
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 40: 60% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 24.9% in a year
Social disorder
8.3
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 36: 64% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Pennsylvania rate
down 14.6% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Warrington

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 11 and 30.

Map of Warrington, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5080.7%
  • 50–1007.9%
  • 100–20011.3%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Check an address in Warrington

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Warrington is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Murder440
Rape / sexual assault222
Robbery152
Aggravated assault85

Property crimes

Shoplifting8572
Other larceny3242
Theft from vehicle3121
Burglary177
Motor vehicle theft157

Social disorder

Drugs and alcohol4661
Intimidation4125
Simple assault3569
Disorderly conduct3310
Trespassing3320
Weapons violations277
Vandalism2729
When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm34
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am36
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm39
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am32
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 24.1% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-24.1%PA -8.6%-13.1%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-7.5%PA -5.4%-3.1%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-24.9%PA -9.2%-13.7%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-14.6%PA -6.1%-5.4%PA -8.5%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Warrington against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

923 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Warrington's, and 121 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:

Dickinson, ND26,48097
Lodi, NJ26,44668
Bartow, FL26,34759
Vernon Hills, IL26,49956
Oak Harbor, WA26,40151
Mustang, OK26,35447
West Linn, OR26,42541
Warrington, PA26,42335
Oak Forest, IL26,41024
Northdale, FL26,35824

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Warrington's major-crime index is higher than 2, lower than 5 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Doylestown Township (4 mi), is within 15% of Warrington's rate.

Montgomeryville5 mi151
Montgomery Township4 mi107
Horsham4 mi56
Warminster4 mi49
Horsham Township4 mi48
Warrington35
Doylestown Township4 mi32
Maple Glen5 mi30
New Britain Township5 mi26

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Warrington

Is Warrington safe?

Warrington's major-crime index is 35, 65% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 69% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 89% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 60% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Warrington?

The model expects about 157 major crimes a year in Warrington, about 6.0 per 1,000 residents, 65% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Warrington?

Expected major crimes in Warrington are down 24.1% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.

What are the most common crimes in Warrington?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 72 a year), other larceny (about 42 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 21 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Warrington?

The model expects about 21 thefts from vehicles a year in Warrington, 69% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Warrington?

The model expects about 7 motor vehicle thefts a year in Warrington, 85% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Warrington safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 36 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 39 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Warrington higher than the Pennsylvania average?

Warrington's major-crime index is 35, 58% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Warrington compare with Doylestown Township?

Doylestown Township, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 32, within 15% of Warrington's rate per resident. Warrington's is 35.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Warrington's figures add up its 13 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Warrington has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 26,423. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Warrington, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/warrington

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100