CrimeMetric

Crime in Northdale, Florida

Major crime in Northdale is 77% below the U.S. rate per resident: 72% lower for persons crimes and 78% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
23
77% below the U.S. rate
69% below the Florida rate
down 15.1% in a year
Persons crimes
28
72% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Florida rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
22
78% below the U.S. rate
70% below the Florida rate
down 18.6% in a year
Social disorder
43
58% below the U.S. rate
45% below the Florida rate
down 4.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Northdale

Crime by type

Every crime type in Northdale is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Northdale for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Northdale

The middle half of Northdale residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 9 and 29; the typical (median) resident's is 15. The citywide figure (23) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Northdale, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5086.3%
  • 50–10013.7%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm0
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am52
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm0
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am45
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.1% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.1%FL -7.8%-4.8%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-0.3%FL -1.4%+7.0%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-18.6%FL -9.3%-8.1%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-4.1%FL -3.5%+2.0%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Northdale against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

950 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Northdale; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Walker, MI26,346130
Fairhope, AL26,33170
Bartow, FL26,34760
Mustang, OK26,35447
Northdale, FL26,35823

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Northdale has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Carrollwood (3 mi), is 16% above Northdale's rate.

Tampa9 mi66
Odessa6 mi44
Northdale23

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Northdale

What are the most common crimes in Northdale?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 29 a year), shoplifting (about 24 a year) and aggravated assault (about 19 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 30% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Northdale's figures add up its 16 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Northdale has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 26,358. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Northdale, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/northdale

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100