CrimeMetric

Crime in West Manchester, Pennsylvania

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in West Manchester at 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident: 11% lower for persons crimes and 2.1 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 4.4% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across West Manchester's 15 census block groups for 19,478 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for West Manchester:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside West Manchester.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
32.3
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 188: 1.9 times the U.S. rate
2.3 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 4.4% in a year
Persons crimes
2.8
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 89: 11% below the U.S. rate
30% above the Pennsylvania rate
down 6.1% in a year
Property crimes
29.5
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 210: 2.1 times the U.S. rate
2.4 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 4.2% in a year
Social disorder
56.0
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 242: 2.4 times the U.S. rate
2.8 times the Pennsylvania rate
down 3.9% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across West Manchester

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 49 and 218.

Map of West Manchester, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5042.2%
  • 50–1009.5%
  • 100–20020.2%
  • 200–40014.8%
  • 400+13.4%

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.3 times the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weeknights and on weekend daytimes

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm176
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am202
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm203
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am179
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 4.4% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-4.4%PA -8.6%-13.0%PA -14.0%
Persons crimes-6.1%PA -5.4%+0.5%PA -6.0%
Property crimes-4.2%PA -9.2%-14.3%PA -15.4%
Social disorder-3.9%PA -6.1%-7.0%PA -8.5%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

West Manchester against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

98 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above West Manchester's, and 122 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

West Manchester, PA19,478188
Ferndale, MI19,451112
Ashland, MA19,49723

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

West Manchester's major-crime index is higher than 6 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Shiloh (1 mi), is 17% below West Manchester's rate.

East York6 mi202
West Manchester188
Hanover15 mi178
Shiloh1 mi156
York3 mi156
West York2 mi139
Columbia16 mi101
Newberry12 mi82

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in West Manchester

Is West Manchester safe?

West Manchester's major-crime index is 188, 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 93% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 11% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 2.1 times the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in West Manchester?

The model expects about 629 major crimes a year in West Manchester, about 32.3 per 1,000 residents, 1.9 times the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in West Manchester?

Expected major crimes in West Manchester are down 4.4% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.

What are the most common crimes in West Manchester?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 262 a year), shoplifting (about 202 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 87 a year).

Are car break-ins common in West Manchester?

The model expects about 87 thefts from vehicles a year in West Manchester, 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in West Manchester?

The model expects about 14 motor vehicle thefts a year in West Manchester, 55% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is West Manchester safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 202 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 203 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in West Manchester higher than the Pennsylvania average?

West Manchester's major-crime index is 188, 2.3 times the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in West Manchester compare with Shiloh?

Shiloh, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 156, 17% below West Manchester's rate per resident. West Manchester's is 188.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. West Manchester's figures add up its 15 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • West Manchester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 19,478. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in West Manchester, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/west-manchester

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100