CrimeMetric

Crime in Middletown, Rhode Island

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Middletown at 59% below the U.S. rate per resident: 67% lower for persons crimes and 57% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.0% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Middletown's 12 census block groups for 16,409 residents. How Rhode Island residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 99.3%, summary counts only for 0.1% and no reporting agency of their own for 0.6% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Middletown:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Middletown.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
7.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 41: 59% below the U.S. rate
27% below the Rhode Island rate
down 8.0% in a year
Persons crimes
1.0
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 33: 67% below the U.S. rate
29% below the Rhode Island rate
down 5.4% in a year
Property crimes
6.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 43: 57% below the U.S. rate
26% below the Rhode Island rate
down 8.4% in a year
Social disorder
10.0
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 43: 57% below the U.S. rate
35% below the Rhode Island rate
down 6.1% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Middletown

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 20 and 59.

Map of Middletown, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5071.2%
  • 50–10020.1%
  • 100–2008.7%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Middletown is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm57
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm50
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am25
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 8.0% in a year; across Rhode Island it fell 9.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.0%RI -9.5%-17.1%RI -12.4%
Persons crimes-5.4%RI -2.8%-5.7%RI -0.9%
Property crimes-8.4%RI -10.6%-19.1%RI -14.4%
Social disorder-6.1%RI -3.6%-11.9%RI -5.9%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Rhode Island in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Middletown against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,723 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Middletown's, and 339 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

Plover, WI16,43772
Avenel, NJ16,43166
Middletown, RI16,40941

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Middletown's major-crime index is higher than 4, lower than 2 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Newport East (under 1 mi), is 20% above Middletown's rate.

Newport2 mi84
Newport Eastunder 1 mi49
Middletown41
Tiverton10 mi36

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Middletown

Is Middletown safe?

Middletown's major-crime index is 41, 59% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 38% of the 34 other Rhode Island places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 67% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 57% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Middletown?

The model expects about 116 major crimes a year in Middletown, about 7.1 per 1,000 residents, 59% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Middletown?

Expected major crimes in Middletown are down 8.0% from a year earlier; across Rhode Island they're down 9.5%.

What are the most common crimes in Middletown?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 57 a year), shoplifting (about 16 a year) and aggravated assault (about 11 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Middletown?

The model expects about 10 thefts from vehicles a year in Middletown, 77% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Middletown?

The model expects about 8 motor vehicle thefts a year in Middletown, 70% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Middletown safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 25 on Friday and Saturday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 57 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Middletown higher than the Rhode Island average?

Middletown's major-crime index is 41, 27% below the Rhode Island rate per resident. Rhode Island as a whole is 56, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Middletown compare with Newport East?

Newport East, under a mile away, has a major-crime index of 49, 20% above Middletown's rate per resident. Middletown's is 41.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middletown's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Middletown has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 16,409. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middletown, Rhode Island." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ri/middletown

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100