CrimeMetric

Crime in Hornsby Bend, Texas

Major crime in Hornsby Bend is 25% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 30% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
75
25% below the U.S. rate
33% below the Texas rate
down 9.1% in a year
Persons crimes
97
about the U.S. rate
about the Texas rate
down 6.4% in a year
Property crimes
70
30% below the U.S. rate
39% below the Texas rate
down 9.8% in a year
Social disorder
65
35% below the U.S. rate
39% below the Texas rate
down 7.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Hornsby Bend

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 1.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Hornsby Bend for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Hornsby Bend

Hornsby Bend is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 77; the middle half of residents live where it is between 55 and 90.

Map of Hornsby Bend, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10093.0%
  • 100–2007.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm68
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am86
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm61
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am84
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.1% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.1%TX -9.2%-6.9%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes-6.4%TX -8.9%+6.3%TX +2.5%
Property crimes-9.8%TX -9.3%-11.0%TX -10.7%
Social disorder-7.3%TX -7.7%+1.3%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Hornsby Bend against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,029 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Hornsby Bend; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Palmview, TX16,44291
Plover, WI16,43775
Hornsby Bend, TX16,43775
Avenel, NJ16,43166

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Hornsby Bend has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Manor (9 mi), is about Hornsby Bend's rate.

Austin11 mi185
Bastrop17 mi178
Wells Branch15 mi174
Manor9 mi79
Hornsby Bend75
Elgin14 mi62

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Hornsby Bend

What are the most common crimes in Hornsby Bend?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 67 a year), theft from vehicle (about 41 a year) and aggravated assault (about 37 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Hornsby Bend's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Hornsby Bend has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 16,437. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Hornsby Bend, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/hornsby-bend

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100