CrimeMetric

Crime in Johnson City, Tennessee

Major crime in Johnson City is about the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 30.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
101
about the U.S. rate
about the Tennessee rate
down 30.7% in a year
Persons crimes
100
about the U.S. rate
23% below the Tennessee rate
down 22.6% in a year
Property crimes
101
about the U.S. rate
10% above the Tennessee rate
down 32.2% in a year
Social disorder
120
20% above the U.S. rate
7% below the Tennessee rate
down 28.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 1.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Johnson City for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Johnson City

The middle half of Johnson City residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 31 and 96; the typical (median) resident's is 55. The citywide figure (101) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Johnson City, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5043.3%
  • 50–10032.3%
  • 100–20011.9%
  • 200–4008.3%
  • 400+4.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm98
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am99
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm99
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am114
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 30.7% in a year; across Tennessee it fell 21.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-30.7%TN -21.1%-9.3%TN -9.5%
Persons crimes-22.6%TN -18.4%+3.6%TN +1.7%
Property crimes-32.2%TN -21.9%-12.2%TN -13.0%
Social disorder-28.0%TN -16.6%-3.1%TN -3.1%

Change in expected crimes, with Tennessee as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Johnson City against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

229 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Johnson City; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Passaic, NJ72,099124
Yuba City, CA73,016103
Johnson City, TN72,523101
Dublin, CA72,69874
Ankeny, IA72,96472

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Johnson City has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Jonesborough (6 mi), is 6% below Johnson City's rate.

Kingsport18 mi120
Bristol20 mi116
Johnson City101
Spurgeon9 mi50
Erwin12 mi32

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Johnson City

What are the most common crimes in Johnson City?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 414 a year), other larceny (about 312 a year) and aggravated assault (about 165 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Johnson City's figures add up its 55 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Johnson City's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 37.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 72,523. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Johnson City, Tennessee." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tn/johnson-city

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100