CrimeMetric

Crime in Commerce City, Colorado

Major crime in Commerce City is 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.0 times for persons crimes and 41% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
152
1.5 times the U.S. rate
8% above the Colorado rate
down 12.0% in a year
Persons crimes
201
2.0 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Colorado rate
down 7.3% in a year
Property crimes
141
41% above the U.S. rate
about the Colorado rate
down 13.3% in a year
Social disorder
101
about the U.S. rate
5% above the Colorado rate
down 7.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Commerce City

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Commerce City for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Commerce City

The middle half of Commerce City residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 59 and 193; the typical (median) resident's is 80. The citywide figure (152) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Commerce City, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5013.9%
  • 50–10036.9%
  • 100–20028.7%
  • 200–40018.0%
  • 400+2.4%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm162
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am149
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm136
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am142
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 12.0% in a year; across Colorado it fell 9.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-12.0%CO -9.1%0.0%CO -11.0%
Persons crimes-7.3%CO -9.3%+11.6%CO +0.8%
Property crimes-13.3%CO -9.1%-3.7%CO -13.3%
Social disorder-7.8%CO -9.3%+3.8%CO -6.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Colorado as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Commerce City against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

94 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Commerce City; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Camden, NJ71,962236
Commerce City, CO72,095152
Passaic, NJ72,099124
Tulare, CA71,98896

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Commerce City has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Derby (4 mi), is 14% above Commerce City's rate.

Twin Lakes9 mi213
Derby4 mi173
Welby7 mi166
Commerce City152
Brighton8 mi128
Thornton6 mi128
Northglenn7 mi118

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Commerce City

What are the most common crimes in Commerce City?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 496 a year), theft from vehicle (about 375 a year) and aggravated assault (about 332 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Commerce City's figures add up its 28 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Commerce City has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 98.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 72,095. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Commerce City, Colorado." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/co/commerce-city

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100