CrimeMetric

Crime in Middle Valley, Tennessee

Major crime in Middle Valley is 49% below the U.S. rate per resident: 40% lower for persons crimes and 51% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
51
49% below the U.S. rate
48% below the Tennessee rate
down 8.3% in a year
Persons crimes
60
40% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Tennessee rate
down 27.2% in a year
Property crimes
49
51% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Tennessee rate
down 1.4% in a year
Social disorder
112
12% above the U.S. rate
13% below the Tennessee rate
down 13.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Middle Valley

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Middle Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Middle Valley

The middle half of Middle Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 36 and 68; the typical (median) resident's is 46.

Map of Middle Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5066.4%
  • 50–10033.6%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm58
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am45
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm51
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am42
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.3% in a year; across Tennessee it fell 21.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.3%TN -21.1%-7.4%TN -9.5%
Persons crimes-27.2%TN -18.4%+6.4%TN +1.7%
Property crimes-1.4%TN -21.9%-11.2%TN -13.0%
Social disorder-13.0%TN -16.6%-2.8%TN -3.1%

Change in expected crimes, with Tennessee as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Middle Valley against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,470 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Middle Valley; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Overland, MO15,356148
Estelle, LA15,40470
Festus, MO15,40962
Middle Valley, TN15,38351
Troy, MO15,35843
Waconia, MN15,41427

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Middle Valley has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Soddy-Daisy (5 mi), is 1.6 times Middle Valley's rate.

East Ridge13 mi100
Red Bank8 mi73
Sale Creek15 mi60
Middle Valley51
Harrison5 mi48

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Middle Valley

What are the most common crimes in Middle Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 51 a year), aggravated assault (about 25 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 20 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middle Valley's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Middle Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 15,383. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middle Valley, Tennessee." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tn/middle-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100