CrimeMetric

Crime in Elsa, Texas

Major crime in Elsa is 16% below the U.S. rate per resident: 20% lower for persons crimes and 14% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
85
16% below the U.S. rate
25% below the Texas rate
down 8.0% in a year
Persons crimes
80
20% below the U.S. rate
21% below the Texas rate
down 5.3% in a year
Property crimes
86
14% below the U.S. rate
25% below the Texas rate
down 8.6% in a year
Social disorder
120
20% above the U.S. rate
13% above the Texas rate
down 7.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Elsa

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Elsa for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Elsa

Elsa is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 94; the middle half of residents live where it is between 54 and 112.

Map of Elsa, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10073.7%
  • 100–20026.3%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm85
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am78
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm95
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am86
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.0% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.0%TX -9.2%-13.8%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes-5.3%TX -8.9%-0.3%TX +2.5%
Property crimes-8.6%TX -9.3%-16.6%TX -10.7%
Social disorder-7.0%TX -7.7%-7.9%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Elsa against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

738 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Elsa; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Pahokee, FL6,061125
Dundee, MI6,05888
Elsa, TX6,05585
Cotati, CA6,06070
Berlin, MD6,05445
Argyle, TX6,05228
Byron, MN6,04920

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Elsa has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Olivarez (5 mi), is 64% below Elsa's rate.

Donna10 mi327
Alamo11 mi200
Weslaco10 mi160
Mercedes11 mi111
Elsa85
Edinburg11 mi80
Murillo8 mi63
Olivarez5 mi30

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Elsa

What are the most common crimes in Elsa?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 41 a year), burglary (about 13 a year) and aggravated assault (about 12 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Elsa's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Elsa has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 6,055. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Elsa, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/elsa

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100