CrimeMetric

Crime in Mercedes, Texas

Major crime in Mercedes is 11% above the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 14% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
111
11% above the U.S. rate
about the Texas rate
down 8.2% in a year
Persons crimes
100
about the U.S. rate
about the Texas rate
down 7.7% in a year
Property crimes
114
14% above the U.S. rate
about the Texas rate
down 8.3% in a year
Social disorder
112
12% above the U.S. rate
about the Texas rate
down 7.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mercedes

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault and shoplifting stand out most, at about 2.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mercedes for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Mercedes

The middle half of Mercedes residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 49 and 218; the typical (median) resident's is 61. The citywide figure (111) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Mercedes, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5026.7%
  • 50–10034.8%
  • 100–20011.6%
  • 200–40026.9%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm119
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am93
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm140
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am101
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.2% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.2%TX -9.2%-6.2%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes-7.7%TX -8.9%+6.0%TX +2.5%
Property crimes-8.3%TX -9.3%-8.5%TX -10.7%
Social disorder-7.2%TX -7.7%+1.8%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mercedes against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

547 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mercedes; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Mercedes, TX20,143111
Lockport, NY20,201101
Orinda, CA20,12151
Vail, AZ20,21844

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mercedes has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Llano Grande (4 mi), is 35% below Mercedes's rate.

Donna9 mi327
Weslaco5 mi160
Mercedes111
La Feria5 mi100
Elsa11 mi85
Primera11 mi37
Olivarez8 mi30

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mercedes

What are the most common crimes in Mercedes?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 138 a year), other larceny (about 112 a year) and aggravated assault (about 42 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mercedes's figures add up its 14 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Mercedes has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 20,143. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mercedes, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/mercedes

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100