CrimeMetric

Crime in Bastrop, Texas

Major crime in Bastrop is 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.5 times for persons crimes and 1.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
178
1.8 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Texas rate
down 8.1% in a year
Persons crimes
151
1.5 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the Texas rate
down 5.0% in a year
Property crimes
184
1.8 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Texas rate
down 8.6% in a year
Social disorder
174
1.7 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Texas rate
down 6.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 4.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Bastrop for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Bastrop

The middle half of Bastrop residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 80 and 240; the typical (median) resident's is 91. The citywide figure (178) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Bastrop, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5021.5%
  • 50–10037.0%
  • 100–2008.5%
  • 200–40017.3%
  • 400+15.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm181
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am173
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm195
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am167
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.1% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.1%TX -9.2%+0.1%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes-5.0%TX -8.9%+14.0%TX +2.5%
Property crimes-8.6%TX -9.3%-2.4%TX -10.7%
Social disorder-6.4%TX -7.7%+5.4%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Bastrop against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

163 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bastrop; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Bastrop, TX13,594178
Leeds, AL13,580141
Henderson, TX13,574135
Lincoln, IL13,599129
Ephrata, PA13,627115
Avenal, CA13,62131

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Bastrop has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Camp Swift (6 mi), is 79% below Bastrop's rate.

Austin28 mi185
Bastrop178
Manor20 mi79
Smithville13 mi65
Elgin18 mi62
Lockhart26 mi47
Giddings25 mi45

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Bastrop

What are the most common crimes in Bastrop?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 190 a year), other larceny (about 79 a year) and aggravated assault (about 50 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 4.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bastrop's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Bastrop has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 39.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 13,594. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bastrop, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/bastrop

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100