CrimeMetric

Crime in San Marcos, Texas

Major crime in San Marcos is 28% above the U.S. rate per resident: 18% higher for persons crimes and 30% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
128
28% above the U.S. rate
14% above the Texas rate
down 9.0% in a year
Persons crimes
118
18% above the U.S. rate
17% above the Texas rate
down 7.9% in a year
Property crimes
130
30% above the U.S. rate
14% above the Texas rate
down 9.3% in a year
Social disorder
118
18% above the U.S. rate
11% above the Texas rate
down 7.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.7 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in San Marcos for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across San Marcos

The middle half of San Marcos residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 52 and 139; the typical (median) resident's is 86. The citywide figure (128) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of San Marcos, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5023.3%
  • 50–10042.2%
  • 100–20016.4%
  • 200–40014.3%
  • 400+3.8%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm101
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am137
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm140
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am176
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.0% in a year; across Texas it fell 9.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.0%TX -9.2%-1.0%TX -8.6%
Persons crimes-7.9%TX -8.9%+12.3%TX +2.5%
Property crimes-9.3%TX -9.3%-3.6%TX -10.7%
Social disorder-7.2%TX -7.7%+7.6%TX -2.0%

Change in expected crimes, with Texas as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

San Marcos against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

140 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than San Marcos; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Jonesboro, AR85,972175
San Marcos, TX86,534128
Waldorf, MD86,14078
Perris, CA85,94673
Auburn, AL85,99059

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

San Marcos has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Redwood (6 mi), is 64% below San Marcos's rate.

San Marcos128
Buda14 mi81
Wimberley10 mi55
Lockhart15 mi47
Redwood6 mi46
Kyle8 mi41

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in San Marcos

What are the most common crimes in San Marcos?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 432 a year), shoplifting (about 390 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 336 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. San Marcos's figures add up its 41 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • San Marcos's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 89.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 86,534. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in San Marcos, Texas." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/tx/san-marcos

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100