CrimeMetric

Crime in Poinciana, Florida

Major crime in Poinciana is 68% below the U.S. rate per resident: 55% lower for persons crimes and 71% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
32
68% below the U.S. rate
57% below the Florida rate
down 7.7% in a year
Persons crimes
45
55% below the U.S. rate
44% below the Florida rate
down 4.0% in a year
Property crimes
29
71% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Florida rate
down 8.9% in a year
Social disorder
28
72% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Florida rate
down 5.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Poinciana is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Poinciana for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Poinciana

The middle half of Poinciana residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 17 and 34; the typical (median) resident's is 21. The citywide figure (32) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Poinciana, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5090.1%
  • 50–1006.5%
  • 100–2003.4%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm28
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am37
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm32
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am32
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.7% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.7%FL -7.8%+1.3%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-4.0%FL -1.4%+13.8%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-8.9%FL -9.3%-3.1%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-5.3%FL -3.5%+9.8%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Poinciana against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

527 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Poinciana; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Homestead, FL87,770128
Kissimmee, FL87,896107
Waukegan, IL87,856105
Poinciana, FL87,15032

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Poinciana has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Haines City (9 mi), is 36% above Poinciana's rate.

Kissimmee13 mi107
Campbell9 mi101
St. Cloud14 mi44
Dundee10 mi38
Poinciana32

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Poinciana

What are the most common crimes in Poinciana?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 117 a year), aggravated assault (about 102 a year) and shoplifting (about 75 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 49% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Poinciana's figures add up its 31 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Poinciana has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 87,150. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Poinciana, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/poinciana

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100