CrimeMetric

Crime in Mantua, Virginia

Major crime in Mantua is 73% below the U.S. rate per resident: 87% lower for persons crimes and 71% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
27
73% below the U.S. rate
69% below the Virginia rate
down 16.7% in a year
Persons crimes
14
87% below the U.S. rate
79% below the Virginia rate
down 11.1% in a year
Property crimes
30
71% below the U.S. rate
67% below the Virginia rate
down 17.2% in a year
Social disorder
32
68% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Virginia rate
down 15.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Mantua

Crime by type

Every crime type in Mantua is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Mantua for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Mantua

Mantua is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 25; the middle half of residents live where it is between 15 and 29.

Map of Mantua, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5086.1%
  • 50–10013.9%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekdays, day and night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm27
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am27
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm26
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.7% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.7%VA -8.5%-13.1%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-11.1%VA -5.2%-3.6%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-17.2%VA -9.0%-14.0%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-15.9%VA -5.3%-4.8%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Mantua against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,983 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mantua; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Franklin, VA8,548177
Logan, OH8,54179
Etowah, NC8,53744
Mantua, VA8,53527

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Mantua has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Woodburn (1 mi), is 2.1 times Mantua's rate.

Fairfax2 mi175
Merrifield2 mi172
Woodburn1 mi56
Oakton3 mi34
Mantua27
Wakefield2 mi20

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Mantua

What are the most common crimes in Mantua?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 15 a year), theft from vehicle (about 10 a year) and shoplifting (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 47% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mantua's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Mantua's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 8,535. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mantua, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/mantua

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100