Crime in Mechanicsville, Virginia
Major crime in Mechanicsville is 44% below the U.S. rate per resident: 57% lower for persons crimes and 42% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 14.3% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 32% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Mechanicsville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Mechanicsville
The middle half of Mechanicsville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 19 and 45; the typical (median) resident's is 29. The citywide figure (56) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5075.2%
- 50–1009.3%
- 100–20010.9%
- 200–4004.7%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 14.3% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Mechanicsville against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
660 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Mechanicsville; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Mechanicsville has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, East Highland Park (4 mi), is 1.9 times Mechanicsville's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Mechanicsville
What are the most common crimes in Mechanicsville?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 172 a year), other larceny (about 109 a year) and aggravated assault (about 42 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 32% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Mechanicsville's figures add up its 23 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Mechanicsville has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 9.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 41,032. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Mechanicsville, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/mechanicsville
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- East Highland Park4 mi105
- Chamberlayne5 mi128
- Highland Springs5 mi97
- Montrose7 mi220
- Lakeside7 mi123
- Sandston7 mi139
- Glen Allen8 mi164
- Dumbarton9 mi160