Crime in Essex, Vermont
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Essex at 13% below the U.S. rate per resident: 57% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.5% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Essex. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 14.9 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (1.3 violent, 13.6 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Essex is lower than 65% of the 26 other Vermont places and higher than 56% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Essex's 13 census block groups for 22,129 residents. How Vermont residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 95.6%, summary counts only for 0.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 3.5% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Essex.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Essex
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 26 and 130.
- 0–5043.3%
- 50–10019.9%
- 100–20024.7%
- 200–40012.2%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Essex
Shoplifting stands out most, at 1.7 times the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 7.5% in a year; across Vermont it fell 14.3%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Vermont in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Essex against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
701 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Essex's, and 381 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Essex's major-crime index is higher than 4, lower than 3 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Essex Junction (1 mi), is 13% below Essex's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Essex
Is Essex safe?
Essex's major-crime index is 87, 13% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 65% of the 26 other Vermont places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 57% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes about the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Essex?
The model expects about 331 major crimes a year in Essex, about 14.9 per 1,000 residents, 13% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Essex?
Expected major crimes in Essex are down 7.5% from a year earlier; across Vermont they're down 14.3%.
What are the most common crimes in Essex?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 118 a year), other larceny (about 83 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 72 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Essex?
The model expects about 72 thefts from vehicles a year in Essex, 23% above the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Essex?
The model expects about 15 motor vehicle thefts a year in Essex, 57% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Essex safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 51 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 123 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Essex higher than the Vermont average?
Essex's major-crime index is 87, about the Vermont rate per resident. Vermont as a whole is 86, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Essex compare with Essex Junction?
Essex Junction, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 76, 13% below Essex's rate per resident. Essex's is 87.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Essex's figures add up its 13 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Essex has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 22,129. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Essex, Vermont." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/vt/essex
Quote this page's aggregate figures with a link to it. Data terms
Use these numbers in your product
Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.
Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Essex Junction1 mi76
- Winooski5 mi147
- South Burlington6 mi270
- Colchester6 mi94
- Burlington6 mi159
- Milton9 mi57
- Town of Milton10 mi49
- Shelburne10 mi71