Crime in Casa Grande, Arizona
Major crime in Casa Grande is 8% below the U.S. rate per resident: 1.7 times for persons crimes and 25% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.5% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Aggravated assault and weapons violations stand out most, at about 1.9 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Casa Grande for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Casa Grande
The middle half of Casa Grande residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 45 and 120; the typical (median) resident's is 59. The citywide figure (92) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5037.6%
- 50–10025.7%
- 100–20028.2%
- 200–4008.5%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 9.5% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Casa Grande against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
269 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Casa Grande; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Casa Grande has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Arizona City (11 mi), is 64% below Casa Grande's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Casa Grande
What are the most common crimes in Casa Grande?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 338 a year), aggravated assault (about 305 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 122 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Casa Grande's figures add up its 32 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Casa Grande's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 62.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 71,092. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Casa Grande, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/casa-grande
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Arizona City11 mi34
- Eloy12 mi75
- Coolidge13 mi100
- Maricopa20 mi80
- Florence22 mi26
- San Tan Valley22 mi27
- Sun Lakes23 mi31
- Queen Creek25 mi42