CrimeMetric

Crime in Madera, California

Major crime in Madera is 15% below the U.S. rate per resident: 37% higher for persons crimes and 26% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 1.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
86
15% below the U.S. rate
29% below the California rate
down 1.5% in a year
Persons crimes
137
37% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 1.1% in a year
Property crimes
74
26% below the U.S. rate
37% below the California rate
down 1.7% in a year
Social disorder
166
1.7 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the California rate
up 4.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Weapons violations stand out most, at 3.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Madera for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Madera

The middle half of Madera residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 37 and 110; the typical (median) resident's is 55. The citywide figure (86) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Madera, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5041.7%
  • 50–10031.0%
  • 100–20019.6%
  • 200–4006.7%
  • 400+1.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm93
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am73
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm96
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am80
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 1.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-1.5%CA -7.4%-5.7%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-1.1%CA -3.5%+2.0%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-1.7%CA -8.4%-8.8%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+4.7%CA -4.9%-3.7%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Madera against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

303 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Madera; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Sanford, FL71,243130
Weston, FL70,789123
Madera, CA71,23786
Shawnee, KS71,23967
Madison, AL70,86051
Lakewood, NJ71,61835

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Madera has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Madera Acres (4 mi), is 39% below Madera's rate.

Fresno20 mi188
Mayfair21 mi118
Kerman16 mi102
Madera86
Mendota22 mi82
Chowchilla14 mi64

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Madera

What are the most common crimes in Madera?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 232 a year), other larceny (about 218 a year) and shoplifting (about 165 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 3.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Madera's figures add up its 36 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Madera's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 73.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 71,237. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Madera, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/madera

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100