CrimeMetric

Crime in Safford, Arizona

Major crime in Safford is 6% below the U.S. rate per resident: 37% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
94
6% below the U.S. rate
11% below the Arizona rate
down 7.4% in a year
Persons crimes
63
37% below the U.S. rate
50% below the Arizona rate
down 4.3% in a year
Property crimes
101
about the U.S. rate
about the Arizona rate
down 7.8% in a year
Social disorder
128
28% above the U.S. rate
10% above the Arizona rate
down 6.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Safford for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Safford

The middle half of Safford residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 30 and 47; the typical (median) resident's is 46. The citywide figure (94) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Safford, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5079.5%
  • 50–1009.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4006.6%
  • 400+5.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights and on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm91
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am97
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm98
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am92
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.4% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.4%AZ -3.2%-13.6%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes-4.3%AZ +2.1%-0.3%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-7.8%AZ -4.5%-15.4%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-6.2%AZ -0.6%-7.4%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Safford against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

762 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Safford; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Riverdale, IL10,287145
Safford, AZ10,28694
Citrus, CA10,28088
Alpena, MI10,28372
Tecumseh, MI10,28226

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Safford has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Thatcher (3 mi), is 61% below Safford's rate.

Globe74 mi363
Catalina73 mi145
Willcox41 mi99
Safford94
San Carlos59 mi77
Benson69 mi70
San Manuel56 mi51
Thatcher3 mi37

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Safford

What are the most common crimes in Safford?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 65 a year), other larceny (about 57 a year) and aggravated assault (about 16 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Safford's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Safford has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 10,286. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Safford, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/safford

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100