CrimeMetric

Crime in San Carlos, Arizona

Major crime in San Carlos is 23% below the U.S. rate per resident: 3.0 times for persons crimes and 74% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
77
23% below the U.S. rate
28% below the Arizona rate
down 10.9% in a year
Persons crimes
304
3.0 times the U.S. rate
2.4 times the Arizona rate
down 7.8% in a year
Property crimes
26
74% below the U.S. rate
74% below the Arizona rate
down 18.0% in a year
Social disorder
176
1.8 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the Arizona rate
down 16.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in San Carlos

Crime by type

Murder stands out most, at 8.3 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in San Carlos for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in San Carlos

San Carlos is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 52; the middle half of residents live where it is between 52 and 86.

Map of San Carlos, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10086.4%
  • 100–20013.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm72
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am72
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm80
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am97
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 10.9% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-10.9%AZ -3.2%-5.6%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes-7.8%AZ +2.1%+0.5%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-18.0%AZ -4.5%-21.4%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-16.1%AZ -0.6%-7.8%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

San Carlos against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

844 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than San Carlos; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

San Carlos, AZ5,09777
Linton, IN5,09754
Armonk, NY5,09751
Rusk, TX5,09445

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

San Carlos has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Globe (16 mi), is 4.7 times San Carlos's rate.

Globe16 mi363
Superior35 mi166
Safford59 mi94
San Carlos77
San Manuel52 mi51
Thatcher57 mi37
Florence55 mi26

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in San Carlos

What are the most common crimes in San Carlos?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 42 a year), burglary (about 8 a year) and other larceny (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., murder stands out most: 8.3 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. San Carlos's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • San Carlos has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,097. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in San Carlos, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/san-carlos

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100