CrimeMetric

Crime in Tolleson, Arizona

Major crime in Tolleson is 2.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 42% higher for persons crimes and 2.9 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
261
2.6 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the Arizona rate
down 8.5% in a year
Persons crimes
142
42% above the U.S. rate
14% above the Arizona rate
down 6.0% in a year
Property crimes
287
2.9 times the U.S. rate
2.8 times the Arizona rate
down 8.7% in a year
Social disorder
226
2.3 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Arizona rate
down 6.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 6.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Tolleson for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Tolleson

The middle half of Tolleson residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 165 and 262; the typical (median) resident's is 262.

Map of Tolleson, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20040.1%
  • 200–40057.0%
  • 400+2.9%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm178
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am383
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm149
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am345
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.5% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.5%AZ -3.2%+0.7%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes-6.0%AZ +2.1%+10.7%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-8.7%AZ -4.5%-0.4%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-6.4%AZ -0.6%+6.6%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Tolleson against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

43 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Tolleson; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Tolleson, AZ10,030261
Camden, SC10,008153
Delta, CO10,008137
Harvard, IL10,02337

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Tolleson has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Avondale (3 mi), is 54% below Tolleson's rate.

Tolleson261
Phoenix11 mi153
Glendale9 mi143
Avondale3 mi121
El Mirage11 mi82
Goodyear9 mi77
Youngtown10 mi75
Sun City12 mi56

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Tolleson

What are the most common crimes in Tolleson?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 209 a year), other larceny (about 75 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 53 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 6.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Tolleson's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Tolleson has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 36.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 10,030. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Tolleson, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/tolleson

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100