CrimeMetric

Crime in Phoenix, Arizona

Major crime in Phoenix is 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.2 times for persons crimes and 38% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.4% from a year earlier.

How we did this

We start from police agencies' crime reports to the FBI (estimated where an agency doesn't report), model how they spread across the census block groups each agency serves, then add up Phoenix's 1,041 block groups. Numbers are estimates with a range of uncertainty, not counts of individual incidents.

Rates are per resident, so areas where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can look high. More on the method

Major crime
153
1.5 times the U.S. rate
44% above the Arizona rate
down 2.4% in a year
Persons crimes
222
2.2 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Arizona rate
up 2.8% in a year
Property crimes
138
38% above the U.S. rate
35% above the Arizona rate
down 4.1% in a year
Social disorder
119
19% above the U.S. rate
about the Arizona rate
up 2.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Crime by type

Robbery is highest, at 2.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Phoenix for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery2621,898
Murder226136

Property crimes

Burglary1614,451
Shoplifting1457,786
Other larceny12010,144

Social disorder

Trespassing1164,590
Intimidation1154,403
Vandalism624,323

How crime varies across Phoenix

Half of Phoenix residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 58 and 184, and half live where it is below 98. The citywide figure (153) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Phoenix, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Census block groups shaded by their band of major-crime index per resident, the same bands as the bar below. Pale gray areas have fewer than 100 residents, so no index is published. Gray lines are major highways. Boundaries and roads: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5021.5%
  • 50–10029.1%
  • 100–20026.9%
  • 200–40016.7%
  • 400+5.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm146
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am164
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm143
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am161

Trend and outlook

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-2.4%-9.6%
Persons crimes+2.8%-0.7%
Property crimes-4.1%-12.8%
Social disorder+2.0%-1.9%

Change in expected crimes. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Phoenix against U.S. places with 1 million or more residents

10 of the 12 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Phoenix; the middle of the group is 161. The 9 nearest in population:

Philadelphia, PA1,576,165281
Houston, TX2,433,038278
San Antonio, TX1,557,099241
Dallas, TX1,348,671208
Austin, TX1,025,425185
San Jose, CA1,006,230161
Jacksonville, FL1,031,982154
Phoenix, AZ1,687,715153
Fort Worth, TX1,043,554132
San Diego, CA1,417,463116

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Phoenix's figures add up its 1,041 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Phoenix's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 82.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 1,687,715. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Phoenix, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/phoenix

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Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100