CrimeMetric

Crime in Tucson Mountains, Arizona

Major crime in Tucson Mountains is 46% below the U.S. rate per resident: 57% lower for persons crimes and 43% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 4.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
54
46% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Arizona rate
down 4.9% in a year
Persons crimes
43
57% below the U.S. rate
66% below the Arizona rate
up 8.3% in a year
Property crimes
57
43% below the U.S. rate
45% below the Arizona rate
down 6.8% in a year
Social disorder
69
31% below the U.S. rate
41% below the Arizona rate
up 1.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Tucson Mountains

Crime by type

Every crime type in Tucson Mountains is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Tucson Mountains for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Tucson Mountains

The middle half of Tucson Mountains residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 47 and 64; the typical (median) resident's is 51.

Map of Tucson Mountains, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5032.5%
  • 50–10067.5%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm68
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm62
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am37
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 4.9% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-4.9%AZ -3.2%-11.3%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes+8.3%AZ +2.1%+1.5%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-6.8%AZ -4.5%-13.4%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder+1.6%AZ -0.6%-3.8%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Tucson Mountains against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,394 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Tucson Mountains; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Winfield, KS11,167176
Fulton, NY11,18367
Molalla, OR11,17657
Tucson Mountains, AZ11,17954
Andover, MA11,19338
Cumming, GA11,17321

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Tucson Mountains has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Flowing Wells (4 mi), is 3.0 times Tucson Mountains's rate.

Marana9 mi56
Oro Valley11 mi56
Tucson Mountains54

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Tucson Mountains

What are the most common crimes in Tucson Mountains?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 34 a year), shoplifting (about 19 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 15 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 21% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Tucson Mountains's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Tucson Mountains has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 52.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 11,179. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Tucson Mountains, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/tucson-mountains

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100