CrimeMetric

Crime in Valencia West, Arizona

Major crime in Valencia West is 44% below the U.S. rate per resident: 17% lower for persons crimes and 50% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
56
44% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Arizona rate
down 6.4% in a year
Persons crimes
83
17% below the U.S. rate
33% below the Arizona rate
up 6.6% in a year
Property crimes
50
50% below the U.S. rate
51% below the Arizona rate
down 10.4% in a year
Social disorder
74
26% below the U.S. rate
37% below the Arizona rate
about flat in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Valencia West

Crime by type

Every crime type in Valencia West is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Valencia West for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Valencia West

The middle half of Valencia West residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 37 and 44; the typical (median) resident's is 43. The citywide figure (56) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Valencia West, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5083.3%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20016.7%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm67
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am45
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm63
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am45
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 6.4% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-6.4%AZ -3.2%-9.9%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes+6.6%AZ +2.1%+1.3%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-10.4%AZ -4.5%-14.0%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-0.1%AZ -0.6%-2.5%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Valencia West against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,356 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Valencia West; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Ada, OK15,322379
Latham, NY15,289197
Vinings, GA15,310116
Neosho, MO15,29976
Tenafly, NJ15,31759
Valencia West, AZ15,30656
Berkley, MI15,32025

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Valencia West has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Tucson Estates (4 mi), is 38% above Valencia West's rate.

South Tucson10 mi646
Tucson14 mi172
Three Points10 mi100
Sahuarita16 mi61
Valencia West56

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Valencia West

What are the most common crimes in Valencia West?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 36 a year), aggravated assault (about 36 a year) and shoplifting (about 27 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Valencia West's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Valencia West has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 15,306. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Valencia West, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/valencia-west

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100