Crime in South Tucson, Arizona
Major crime in South Tucson is 6.5 times the U.S. rate per resident: 4.8 times for persons crimes and 6.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.9% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 13.7 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in South Tucson for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Neighborhoods in South Tucson
South Tucson is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 648; the middle half of residents live where it is between 551 and 804.
- 0–500.0%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+100.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.9% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
South Tucson against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents
2 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than South Tucson; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
South Tucson has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Tucson (4 mi), is 73% below South Tucson's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in South Tucson
What are the most common crimes in South Tucson?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 192 a year), other larceny (about 152 a year) and aggravated assault (about 52 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 13.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. South Tucson's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- South Tucson has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 4,422. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in South Tucson, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/south-tucson
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Tucson4 mi172
- Drexel Heights6 mi125
- Flowing Wells7 mi161
- Tucson Mountains9 mi54
- Catalina Foothills9 mi112
- Tucson Estates9 mi78
- Valencia West10 mi56
- Casas Adobes10 mi155