Crime in Lake Elsinore, California
Major crime in Lake Elsinore is 26% below the U.S. rate per resident: 50% lower for persons crimes and 21% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 24.5% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 24% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Lake Elsinore for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Lake Elsinore
The middle half of Lake Elsinore residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 42 and 73; the typical (median) resident's is 53. The citywide figure (74) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5043.2%
- 50–10041.6%
- 100–2008.6%
- 200–4006.6%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 24.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Lake Elsinore against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
357 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Elsinore; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Lake Elsinore has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lakeland Village (3 mi), is 31% above Lake Elsinore's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Lake Elsinore
What are the most common crimes in Lake Elsinore?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 245 a year), other larceny (about 228 a year) and shoplifting (about 160 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 24% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Elsinore's figures add up its 31 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lake Elsinore has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 48.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 74,438. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Elsinore, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/lake-elsinore
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Lakeland Village3 mi97
- Canyon Lake5 mi74
- Meadowbrook5 mi186
- Wildomar6 mi54
- Good Hope7 mi103
- Menifee9 mi63
- Temescal Valley10 mi64
- Lake Mathews11 mi115