CrimeMetric

Crime in Carmichael, California

Major crime in Carmichael is 16% above the U.S. rate per resident: 1.6 times for persons crimes and 6% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
116
16% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
163
1.6 times the U.S. rate
21% above the California rate
up 13.6% in a year
Property crimes
106
6% above the U.S. rate
9% below the California rate
down 4.5% in a year
Social disorder
87
13% below the U.S. rate
15% below the California rate
up 8.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Carmichael

Crime by type

Robbery stands out most, at 2.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Carmichael for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Carmichael

The middle half of Carmichael residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 73 and 138; the typical (median) resident's is 105.

Map of Carmichael, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–504.8%
  • 50–10039.6%
  • 100–20046.6%
  • 200–4008.9%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm105
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am133
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm106
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am124
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 0.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-0.5%CA -7.4%-13.2%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+13.6%CA -3.5%-4.5%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-4.5%CA -8.4%-16.1%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+8.6%CA -4.9%-7.4%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Carmichael against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

179 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Carmichael; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Hammond, IN75,288168
Carmichael, CA75,641116
Spring, TX75,07893
Scranton, PA75,58190
Apex, NC75,38944

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Carmichael has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, North Highlands (4 mi), is 34% above Carmichael's rate.

Carmichael116
La Riviera5 mi108
Fair Oaks4 mi86

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Carmichael

What are the most common crimes in Carmichael?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 294 a year), aggravated assault (about 285 a year) and other larceny (about 263 a year). Compared with the U.S., robbery stands out most: 2.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Carmichael's figures add up its 54 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Carmichael has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 97.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 75,641. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Carmichael, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/carmichael

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100