Crime in Ceres, California
Major crime in Ceres is 12% below the U.S. rate per resident: 23% higher for persons crimes and 20% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 1.5 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Ceres for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Ceres
The middle half of Ceres residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 37 and 94; the typical (median) resident's is 59. The citywide figure (88) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5044.9%
- 50–10030.5%
- 100–20015.9%
- 200–4008.7%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 18.6% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Ceres against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
399 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Ceres; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Ceres has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bret Harte (3 mi), is 43% below Ceres's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Ceres
What are the most common crimes in Ceres?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 197 a year), shoplifting (about 171 a year) and aggravated assault (about 132 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Ceres's figures add up its 28 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Ceres's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 68.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 49,801. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Ceres, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/ceres
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Bret Harte3 mi50
- Keyes4 mi47
- West Modesto4 mi46
- Empire4 mi148
- Hughson5 mi26
- Modesto5 mi107
- Turlock8 mi82
- Riverbank9 mi82