Crime in West Modesto, California
Major crime in West Modesto is 54% below the U.S. rate per resident: 13% lower for persons crimes and 63% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.2% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Weapons violations stand out most, at 20% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in West Modesto for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Social disorder
Neighborhoods in West Modesto
West Modesto is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 39; the middle half of residents live where it is between 39 and 40.
- 0–5092.4%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2007.6%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 10.2% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
West Modesto against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents
1,112 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than West Modesto; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
West Modesto has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bret Harte (1 mi), is 8% above West Modesto's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in West Modesto
What are the most common crimes in West Modesto?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 10 a year), theft from vehicle (about 7 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 6 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 20% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. West Modesto's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- West Modesto has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 4,768. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in West Modesto, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/west-modesto
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100