CrimeMetric

Crime in Concord, California

Major crime in Concord is 21% above the U.S. rate per resident: 38% higher for persons crimes and 18% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 21.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
121
21% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 21.4% in a year
Persons crimes
138
38% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
up 7.9% in a year
Property crimes
118
18% above the U.S. rate
about the California rate
down 26.6% in a year
Social disorder
116
16% above the U.S. rate
14% above the California rate
down 8.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Concord for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Concord

The middle half of Concord residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 57 and 140; the typical (median) resident's is 74. The citywide figure (121) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Concord, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5019.3%
  • 50–10042.6%
  • 100–20024.1%
  • 200–4009.8%
  • 400+4.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm120
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am125
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm120
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am118
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 21.4% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-21.4%CA -7.4%-15.1%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+7.9%CA -3.5%-6.2%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-26.6%CA -8.4%-17.4%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-8.7%CA -4.9%-9.5%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Concord against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

111 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Concord; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Berkeley, CA122,820277
Las Cruces, NM122,435189
Hartford, CT122,877131
Concord, CA122,059121
Lewisville, TX122,828105
Lakeland, FL122,64194
Conroe, TX121,37990
Rochester, MN122,27976
Concord, NC122,51252

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Concord has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Contra Costa Centre (3 mi), is 30% below Concord's rate.

Vine Hill6 mi154
Bay Point5 mi122
Concord121
Martinez6 mi65
Clayton5 mi40

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Concord

What are the most common crimes in Concord?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 695 a year), other larceny (about 421 a year) and aggravated assault (about 403 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Concord's figures add up its 87 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Concord's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 50.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 122,059. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Concord, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/concord

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100