CrimeMetric

Crime in Willows, California

Major crime in Willows is 44% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 55% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
56
44% below the U.S. rate
54% below the California rate
down 7.6% in a year
Persons crimes
101
about the U.S. rate
24% below the California rate
down 3.7% in a year
Property crimes
46
55% below the U.S. rate
61% below the California rate
down 9.5% in a year
Social disorder
55
45% below the U.S. rate
46% below the California rate
down 6.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Willows

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 18% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Willows for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Willows

The middle half of Willows residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 50 and 58; the typical (median) resident's is 55.

Map of Willows, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5020.3%
  • 50–10079.7%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm62
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am47
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm58
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am54
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.6%CA -7.4%-13.7%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-3.7%CA -3.5%-4.6%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-9.5%CA -8.4%-18.2%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-6.3%CA -4.9%-12.1%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Willows against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,236 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Willows; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Raton, NM5,99291
Willows, CA5,99156

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Willows has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Orland (16 mi), is about Willows's rate.

Chico25 mi146
Corning28 mi99
Gridley29 mi93
Colusa24 mi71
Thermalito32 mi67
Williams27 mi60
Willows56
Orland16 mi54
Durham23 mi49

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Willows

What are the most common crimes in Willows?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 16 a year), other larceny (about 16 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 18% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Willows's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Willows's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,991. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Willows, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/willows

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100